Aug
Joint MERGE and CEC research seminar with Emma Holmberg: Skillful heat related mortality forecasting during recent deadly European summers

Join us on 20 August for the first CEC research seminar of the semester which is joint together with the Strategic Research Area MERGE when we get to hear Emma Holmberg from Uppsala University.
Abstract:
Europe has been identified as a heatwave hotspot, with numerous temperature records having been broken in recent summers and roughly 60,000 and 50,000 heat-related deaths occurring in the summers of 2022 and 2023, respectively. With recent summers, like that of 2022, projected to become the new norm, there is a pressing need to further develop heat-health warning systems to help society adapt to a warming climate. Here, we evaluate the skill of daily temperature related mortality forecasts, which can inform heat-warning systems, for the summers of 2022 and 2023. For most parts of Europe, enhanced temperature related mortality forecasts were associated with milder temperatures, close to the minimum mortality temperature. However, some of the hottest regions in Europe showed increased predictability associated with higher temperatures, suggesting that mortality forecasts can provide valuable information in regions also associated with high levels of temperature related mortality.
Would you like to meet up and discuss further with Emma during her stay in Lund, please contact Emma directly or valentina [dot] schuller [at] math [dot] lu [dot] se (valentina[dot]schuller[at]math[dot]lu[dot]se)
Read more about Emma Holmberg and her research in link below.
Link to the registration for joining via Zoom:
About the event
Location:
Blue hall, Ecologybuilding, Lund and zoom
Contact:
lina [dot] nikoleris [at] cec [dot] lu [dot] se